Kansas City crowd estimates used to be great sport…
Especially since nobody did any actual counting, so pretty much anybody and everybody could play – and play they did! The owners of the Country Club Plaza were the most prolific. Year after year they upped the attendance numbers for the vaunted Plaza Lighting Ceremony until it reached more than a quarter million people.
However the worst offenders were local television “newscasters” who with zero compunction embraced the unquestioned “estimates” then goosed the numbers to 300,000 or more. Like I said, anybody can and did play.
Enter a local businessman named Gary Evert who teamed with UMKC math and statistics professor Yong Zeng and lead a task force of students and volunteers to actually count the crowd, employing Jacobs Method.
Evert’s official tally: 32,000 and change.
In other words, about 10 cents on the dollar in comparison to media and Plaza estimates.
A front page bust went down in my column in the Kansas City Star, resulting in a confession by the Plaza that it had never counted the crowd and had no idea how many people were at its lighting ceremonies.
Which brings us to Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals Million Man March.
You know, the dazzling spectacle that prompted grown men – people like KC Mayor Sly James and Kansas City Star sports columnist Vahe Gregorian – to blather about completely ridiculous crowd numbers ranging from 500,000 to 800,000 people.
Straight faced, no less. Continue reading →